Two Minute Drill — Tuesday, October 27, 2026
The daily drive from Tuesday, October 27, 2026. This really happened — the situation below is the exact endgame those teams faced. Call it yourself and see if you beat the result. Skip to what really happened ↓
Call it for the Panthers — can you finish the comeback?
Panthers ball, down 7 — it takes a touchdown. At their own 20, 2:57 on the clock, no timeouts left.
24 calls · real NFL endgames · graded by win probability · free, no account
What really happened
Final: Panthers 10, Titans 17. Titans won 17-10 — the drive turned it over on downs.
Panthers ball, down 7 — it takes a touchdown. At their own 20, 2:57 on the clock, no timeouts left.
nflverse's historical win-probability estimate for this exact situation was 10.2% for Panthers. Our model starts at 8.0%. The two numbers are estimates, not verdicts — the gap between them is a reminder that endgame win probability is hard to pin down.
The real drive, snap by snap
- (2:57) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short right to 30-C.Hubbard pushed ob at CAR 23 for 3 yards (35-K.Wallace).
- (2:52) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young sacked at CAR 15 for -8 yards (96-D.Autry).
- (2:21) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 30-C.Hubbard to CAR 24 for 9 yards (2-A.Al-Shaair, 21-R.McCreary).
- (2:00) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 17-D.Chark to CAR 24 for no gain (37-A.Hooker).
The opening call, by win probability
At the first snap, the strongest opening call in our model was Curl route (+0.67 pts), and the weakest was Inside run (-1.04 pts). A positive number means the call improved the offense's expected win probability; a negative number means it cost them.
| Opening call | Expected WP change |
|---|---|
| Curl route | +0.67 pts |
| Deep post | +0.62 pts |
| QB keep | +0.45 pts |
| Pull RPO | +0.42 pts |
| Quick slant | +0.39 pts |
| Play action | +0.22 pts |
| Deep comebacker | +0.08 pts |
| Deep corner | +0.08 pts |
| Quick out | +0.06 pts |
| Quick hook | +0.01 pts |
| Screen pass | -0.15 pts |
| Flea flicker | -0.30 pts |
| Receiver pass | -0.39 pts |
| Quick RPO | -0.47 pts |
| Outside run | -0.64 pts |
| QB sneak | -0.76 pts |
| End-around | -0.82 pts |
| Spike it | -0.90 pts |
| Off-tackle run | -1.02 pts |
| Inside run | -1.04 pts |
This is our own model estimate, not the real coach's grade and not a claim about what the “correct” call was. Football decisions depend on the opponent, personnel and game plan — the model only measures how a call changes win probability in this situation.